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Ibrahim Bayandurlu
Independent political scientist (Azerbaijan)


Bloody comprehension of truths

Immense areas that once belonged to a nuclear-Bolshevik power are today populated by nations that through blood and devastation are comprehending and approbating the universal model of human communal life called democracy or some other name.

After more than seventy years of Bolshevik rule it became completely obvious that the Leninist-Stalinist political-economic and state-administrative technology of constructing an inter-national community permitted the containment of inter-national and inter-ethnic problems only temporarily, and at a tremendous cost. These problems were resolved within the limits of a unified Soviet Union, and today continue to shake the vast post-Soviet area of states that have gained full independence. The Bolsheviks formally accelerated the "statehood creation" of the nations and nationalities for whom the right to secede was still secured in the first versions of the Soviet constitution. However, in reality, the Leninist-Stalinist social experiment tragically kept entire peoples and nations from the path of development which would have led their consciousness toward healthy natural tolerance and civilized mutual cooperation.

By the beginning of the Gorbachev reforms the USSR, devoid of a scientific basis as a social system and as a unique arena for interrelations among ethnic groups, experienced a deep-laid ideological crisis, which within a period time developed into a collapse. But as a matter of fact, the motivation for the taking on by entire nations of the status of subject of the USSR, in order to belong to a "new historical community of nations - the Soviet people" was shed more by the communist ideology than by the international, which defined the way of life and traditions of non-title nations. As Russian sociologist I. Shafarevich observed, the USSR was a zombie, created by the Bolsheviks out of a "murdered" Russia by means of communist ideology and dictatorship. Thus, the country of the Soviets, built on shaky foundations, not reinforced by a productive economic all-Union organism, simply came crashing down. The debris fell upon the heads of the masses who, in some sense, went mad, and who, from the end of the 1980s, were inclined to self-exaltation in the public squares.

The social consciousness of the Soviet peoples simmered in a common soup, in a standard social economic system that was ruled by the class of party bureaucrats and party nomenklatura members. In the expanses of the former USSR, this class remains the ruling force until now. All of this allows us to speak with a great degree of certainty about the comparability of the inter-ethnic conflicts not only in the South Caucasus but in other regions of the ex-Evil empire as well.

The similarities among the conflicts in the South Caucasus region are modeled in principle and the conflicts follow a classic pattern. Let us take as an example the Tskhinvali syndrome. As is well known, the South Ossetians, who differ in mentality from the "northerners" (just like the Armenians of Karabakh differ from their "continental" tribesmen) had the status of an autonomous oblast (province) within the Georgian SSR. The same status was possessed by the Armenians of Nagorno Karabakh. One must make the qualification that their status was the dual realization of the right to self-determination by the same ethnos. Within the framework of "Leninist national policy" and multistage Soviet federalism, the Ossetians in the first place became self-realized, attaining the status of autonomous republic within the RSFSR, and secondly were granted multifunctional autonomy within Soviet Georgia. The same thing happened to the Armenians. Moreover, unlike the Ossetians, as a result of their right to self-determination the Armenians became a full founding member of the USSR, and constituted one of the fifteen republics of the Union with the constitutionally guaranteed right to secession and the creation of a state of their own.

Let us continue the comparison. As was true of Nagorno Karabakh, in the era of the reign of the Communist party, during the seemingly iron stability of the Soviet Union, Ossetian-Georgian relations were by no means idyllic. Periodically, in scientific and intellectual circles, primarily pseudo-scientific disputes would flare up around the question of which nation in the territory was more aboriginal than the other. My point has nothing to do with who was right. I tend to believe that developing ethno-political aspirations on the basis of historical aboriginality is an anachronism. I am convinced that the inferiority complex about someone's perception of your nation as non-native in the given territory, and all the more, the irresistible urge to refute round the clock this very non-nativeness, is, if you will forgive me, ethno- pathology. After all, the Baltic nations are not aboriginal on the territories of their states. What of it? They don't gnaw at each other's throats or anyone else's.

During the perestroika period, unrest of a social nature at first began in the capitals of the regional autonomies. However, very soon in the central square of Tskhinvali, as well as that of Stepanakert, mass rallies demanding the "reunification with the historical motherland" were taking place. In both places the new Gorbachev-appointed leaders of the autonomies who had replaced the Brezhnev-era provincial party bosses not only did not stop their tribesmen but also diverted those processes into a fundamentally different course. After the replacement of the leadership in both autonomous regions, local Soviet (legislative) bodies of the regions adopted anti-constitutional decisions on secession from Georgia and Azerbaijan. The reactions of Tbilisi and Baku were absolutely identical.

It is not out of place to cite Shafarevich once again. He finds that "the forces in the RSFSR that were fighting for power with the leadership of the USSR used as a weapon the separatist movements in other republics. As we know, the success here was complete."

We have all the grounds to assume that in both of these conflicts, at first invisibly, and thereafter more apparently and institutionally, the factor of a third force was present. This was in the beginning in the shape of Gorbachev's center and the Russian democrats who legitimately laid hands on the institutions of high authority, and subsequently, after the collapse of the Soviet Union, in the shape of Yeltsin's Russia, which manipulated the entire "conflictological arsenal" in order to assert their geopolitical interests in the region.

Thus, the functional and original similarity of all the conflicts in the South Caucasus is absolutely obvious. The Georgian - Abkhazian collision doesn't constitute an exception either. Today this conflict is on the front line of the Russian -American great geopolitical war, which however, after September 11 was transformed into nice, amicable disputes over turf. These quiet disputes are now growing into loud adjustments of roles and limits of influence.

If we distance ourselves from strictly scientific definitions, then undoubtedly the objects of the Georgian - Abkhazian conflict are the Georgian and the Abkhazian nations as well as their great and blessed land. And the subjects are the political economic elites of these nations, certain segments of the Russian elite, plus western politicians.

Contrary to various kinds of pseudo-scientific evidence, the Georgians and the Abkhazians are the bearers of the same subculture. Most probably because of this, these two nations are clarifying their relations. Both have an identical, possibly consanguineous arrogance which is, however, by virtue of genetic good manners, possible to overcome in the name of peace. But very unfortunately, the subjects of the conflict are the elites whose interests are often hard to understand, let alone formulate. This applies most of all to the Abkhazian elite. As a significant subject of the conflict, the Abkhazian elite is apparently capable of understanding that the Gamsakhurdian ultra-nationalistic injection into the national self-consciousness of the Georgians caused it incurable paralysis (fortunately). This self-consciousness had given rise to the illusion that it was possible to settle the conflict by means of ethnic cleansing and the abolishment of the Abkhazian autonomous entity. But as Georgian society was unwilling to lose Abkhazia once and for all, this absolutely matured into the full-fledged, functional and democratic federalization of Georgia. This is a big misfortune of the Abkhazian elite, inasmuch as the quite tangible prospect of Georgian membership the European Union "threatens" Abkhazia as a subject of the federative Georgia with much more attractive choices than the blind observance of Russian geopolitical commandments. Ultimately, becoming part of Europe will provide Abkhazia with the opportunity for spiritual self-affirmation and self-realization. It is clear as day that Georgia will become a member of the EU far sooner than Russia will. And then the Europeans will consider the non- integrity of Georgia as their own.

The other subject of the conflict is the Georgian political elite. As we noted earlier, the lesson of ex-president Gamsakhurdia did not pass without leaving a trace. Political and governmental circles in Georgia are disposed to a peaceful outcome of the collision.

One of the vector-forming subjects in the Georgian-Abkhazian conflict is Russia in the shape of the orthodox-minded part of the high-powered political elite and the high military command, as well as the financial oligarchic circles, which profess imperial values. Undoubtedly, for the fate of the Caucasian nations, and Caucasian democracy, if you will, all three components of Russia's being a subject in this conflict are extremely destructive. These forces sometimes resort to the tactics of actively aggressive opposition to the penetration of the US and its allies to the boundaries of Russia, and sometimes (after September 11) make a collusive agreement with the same Americans in order to get carte blanche for accomplishing certain military tasks. Through this they impede the formation of an integral, spiritually self-sufficient, and, at the same time, realizable all-Russian, democratic, and national doctrine of development. In such circumstances some South Caucasian nations not only deprive themselves of the opportunity of progressive movement towards European standards, but also, through their separatism overburden Georgia and Azerbaijan on their road to the European family of nations. Here it will be much to the point to again quote Shafarevich, who in continuation of his thoughts on the utilization of the separatist movements in the republics of the former Soviet Union by Russian political circles fairly observed: "But it was naïve to hope that such a process would stop at the boundaries of the RSFSR. And it went farther, deep inside: more and more territories are declaring their sovereignty, upgrading their status". It is worth adding to his observation that Russian federalism, which has from the moment of the self-destruction of the USSR pretended to a status of democratic federative statehood, is going through a phase of "multi-stage Chechenization". No one knows what the end of all of this may be.

A natural question arises - is it possible that the nations of the South Caucasus do not understand the essence of what is going on, is it possible that nations which have deep cultural and spiritual roots do not want peace? Or is it that they have no influence over their leaders, and all decisions are being made for them.

It is easiest to say that the nations have no say and everything takes place at the will of the world geopolitical centers, and that this will is put into effect with the assistance of the depraved national elites. It must be admitted that there is a considerable proportion of truth here. It is exactly the superpower, the ex-superpower and the Europeans with their nuclear arsenals who by crossing their geopolitical swords produce a hand of military-strategic and geo-economic cards. These cards determine the behavior pattern of the national elites who thrust upon on their nations war-mongering slogans. And, vice versa, when the superpowers need it, the elites preach peace, which although it exists, is fragile.

But on closer examination of the issue, it turns out that not everything is so simple. In the on-going processes the role of the nations themselves is inexorable. A great deal also occurs because such is the psychological mood of the nations. The South Caucasus is a land of spiritual, and at the same time functional, elder worship. And the elders by virtue of their age can distinguish universal wisdom from demagogy. But I have great suspicions that the elders too are ambitious, and thus, that the nations spiritually guided by them are ambitious.

It would be logical to assume that public opinion in the countries of the South Caucasus is extremely non-constructive. It is very fitting to conclude with a reflection of the Scottish philosopher David Hume: "The struggle for freedom in the final analysis is not the resistance against despots and oligarchs, but the resistance against the despotism of public opinion".